Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.144586 0.173130 0.205310 0.244202 0.289851 0.341650 0.404798
2025-03-23 0.104098 0.140842 0.187042 0.249062 0.329768 0.430816 0.566449
2025-03-30 0.081541 0.120973 0.174766 0.252803 0.362269 0.509356 0.720741
2025-04-06 0.064722 0.103829 0.160970 0.249400 0.381365 0.569205 0.854489
2025-04-13 0.052718 0.090657 0.149558 0.246021 0.397913 0.625103 0.986813
2025-04-20 0.046016 0.084150 0.146598 0.254050 0.431297 0.707954 1.166521
2025-04-27 0.043107 0.083219 0.152055 0.275708 0.488048 0.831843 1.421656
2025-05-04 0.038899 0.079143 0.151390 0.286634 0.527942 0.932416 1.649198
2025-05-11 0.033402 0.071625 0.143396 0.283346 0.542636 0.992241 1.814567
2025-05-18 0.027940 0.063127 0.132202 0.272417 0.541949 1.024992 1.935920
2025-05-25 0.023153 0.055082 0.120561 0.258798 0.534214 1.043791 2.033459
2025-06-01 0.020857 0.051931 0.118147 0.262813 0.560133 1.125600 2.251981
2025-06-08 0.017378 0.045628 0.108572 0.251644 0.556383 1.154513 2.380841
2025-06-15 0.015706 0.043256 0.107133 0.257527 0.588143 1.255303 2.658193
2025-06-22 0.014118 0.040754 0.104973 0.261459 0.616176 1.351410 2.935562
2025-06-29 0.012296 0.037255 0.099889 0.257954 0.627572 1.414712 3.152790
2025-07-06 0.010739 0.034121 0.095142 0.254468 0.638419 1.477681 3.374968
2025-07-13 0.009960 0.033008 0.095266 0.262752 0.677113 1.603612 3.741270
2025-07-20 0.009870 0.033899 0.100729 0.285097 0.751387 1.813954 4.307602
2025-07-27 0.009296 0.033198 0.101819 0.296368 0.800269 1.972228 4.773311
2025-08-03 0.008230 0.030708 0.097570 0.292976 0.812632 2.048785 5.063323
2025-08-10 0.007041 0.027525 0.090792 0.281702 0.803661 2.074905 5.240704
2025-08-17 0.005936 0.024348 0.083438 0.267651 0.785640 2.077585 5.363543